Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.066834 0.071798 0.076971 0.082770 0.089097 0.095798 0.103443
2025-12-07 0.056108 0.063170 0.070950 0.080187 0.090891 0.102951 0.117629
2025-12-14 0.047938 0.055970 0.065212 0.076697 0.090673 0.107239 0.128525
2025-12-21 0.042879 0.051588 0.061976 0.075389 0.092406 0.113483 0.141889
2025-12-28 0.040001 0.049403 0.060981 0.076451 0.096826 0.123096 0.160103
2026-01-04 0.037495 0.047371 0.059875 0.077090 0.100533 0.131868 0.177827
2026-01-11 0.034890 0.044949 0.057990 0.076421 0.102267 0.137938 0.192189
2026-01-18 0.032799 0.043011 0.056542 0.076133 0.104361 0.144509 0.207701
2026-01-25 0.030625 0.040789 0.054517 0.074820 0.104794 0.148593 0.219717
2026-02-01 0.028444 0.038405 0.052086 0.072708 0.103821 0.150402 0.228224
2026-02-08 0.026592 0.036363 0.049996 0.070913 0.103122 0.152474 0.237199
2026-02-15 0.025043 0.034657 0.048274 0.069519 0.102883 0.155157 0.247305
2026-02-22 0.024154 0.033882 0.047894 0.070182 0.105979 0.163527 0.268150
2026-03-01 0.022643 0.032117 0.045952 0.068312 0.104900 0.164999 0.277143
2026-03-08 0.021019 0.030101 0.043524 0.065519 0.102104 0.163351 0.280308
2026-03-15 0.019959 0.028881 0.042242 0.064470 0.102111 0.166462 0.292552
2026-03-22 0.019442 0.028462 0.042169 0.065364 0.105450 0.175641 0.317305
2026-03-29 0.018880 0.027940 0.041899 0.065900 0.108185 0.183931 0.341218
2026-04-05 0.018120 0.027069 0.041020 0.065347 0.108934 0.188600 0.358270
2026-04-12 0.017478 0.026353 0.040354 0.065108 0.110216 0.194345 0.378178
2026-04-19 0.016707 0.025394 0.039240 0.064018 0.109846 0.196854 0.391373
2026-04-26 0.015854 0.024268 0.037796 0.062264 0.108106 0.196521 0.398216
2026-05-03 0.015104 0.023278 0.036537 0.060770 0.106759 0.196851 0.406574